SWR gave a political analysis and number piece out today.
The current trend, as reported:
The CDU Party in R-P is 37-percent.
The SPD Party in R-P is 31-percent.
The Green Party in R-P is 9-percent.
The AfD Party in R-P is 8-percent.
The Linke and FDP Parties in R-P are 5-percent each.
The CDU is running a strong candidate, who is delivering a anti-Merkel type theme.....which is helping them a bit. It is strictly a race between the CDU and SPD presently.
The chief speech that helps the CDU? The state folks say they want to ban facial coverings which would be a anti-Muslim thing. Even if they win.....they have to partner with someone who'd be in agreement with them to get this passed, and it's zero-percent chance that will occur (don't tell that to R-P voters though).