Sunday, November 9, 2025

The German 'Syrians-Will-Leave' Strategy

 Over the past month, if you follow nightly news...the German government has been making talk up to say that the current group of Syrians in Germany (around 1-million)....have an end-point to the war, and Syria is now considered 'safe'.   

Reparation?  Well....that door is opening. 

Why?  There's  two strategies at play here.

First, from the Syrian community, there are a fair number on  Burgergeld (welfare), and roughly half of the 5.5-million welfare cases....involve non-Germans (course, Ukrainians, Iraqis, Afghans, and various groups also make up this group).

Second, the coalition needs some 'victory' to convince voters that something is occurring....to decrease voters for the AfD Party.

Out of the 1-million Syrians....how many are hyped-up to return to Syria?  Unknown, and it's curious....no one has polled them. If I were guessing....those under age-30...don't have much desire to return.  From the remainder....at least 50-percent would return...if housing existed.

My best guess on return-to-Syria numbers....maybe around 200,000 would readily agree to leave for home, with another 200,000 eventually (a year or two later) agreeing to leave.  

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