Normally, after the early 2025 federal election....you'd have four years of 'peace'.
This week...BILD am Sonntag newspaper had Insa do a survey.
Forty-nine percent of respondents say the current federal government will likely NOT last the entire legislative period until 2029. However, 32 percent believe the coalition will last until 2029.
Yeah, it's a bad sign.
On the negative side....in terms of being dissatisfied with the work of the federal government....66 percent view the government's work in a critical fashion.
In terms of how such an early election would occur? Presently, AfD would likely 'win' with 26-percent of the vote, but be UNABLE to form a gov't. This would lead to the CDU-CSU (around 24-to-25-percent) getting the chance, and forced in some way to partner with the SPD and Greens.
Yeah, it would be a highly ineffective gov't and likely lead to a even lesser favored gov't in the next term.
As for the idea of a falling out presently between the CDU-CSU and SPD? Merz isn't exactly making any major fixes, and the economy is still stalled.
Partnering between the CDU-CSU and AfD? Zero-chance.
No comments:
Post a Comment