The Next Thing To Worry About

This AM.....story being run by NDR, WDR, and the Süddeutsche Zeitung....says that a 'cache' of pistols...has been found, and it leads to KGB/FSB 'agents'.

So if you piece this together....oddly, this was found in the summer of 2025, and its just now being openly discussed by the police

Found where?  Woods....near Brandenburg.

Big group?  No.....just two pistols/ammo.

Absolute proof?  Well....no.....it's assumed that it's the Russians.

Anyone arrested?  One guy....detained in Romania....so far.

The threat-story given?  Just that some type of assassination was possible.

Me skeptical?  You could go over to Leipzig and ask the four criminal clans about weapons, with them grinning and admitting they've got probably a hundred weapons hid around the region.

But here's the thing.....the Putin-threat keeps getting brought up.  1920s murders and assassinations?  There were dozens of folks killed in the interest of bringing 'change'.   

Germany Deport List

 I read through a ZEIT article today....saying for 2026....a total of 17,892 foreigners (on the deport list) had departed. 

What's left currently?  The federal government says (as of 1 July 2026)....there were 258,845 people in Germany who were ausreisepflichtig (obligated to leave the country).

The 10,000 Euro Expense Account Story

 Each guy/gal/other in the German Bundestag....gets 10,000 Euro a year for office expenses (meaning PC, laptop, printer, TAB, paper, cellphone, pens, notebooks, etc).

Someone sat down with the outflow of funds in the past year....oddly finding on average....at least 10 smart-phones a year....are bought individually. 

Explanation?  None given.

I pondered over this.  I worked with an American who lost or 'wrecked' three cellphones a year....for four years straight.  He was a pretty active guy....paddling a canoe....jogging in a lighted park after dark....biking weekly.  It would just happen....he'd show up at work...admit the loss, and go over at lunch to buy a new cellphone.

In the Bundestag case?  I would imagine that year after year....four-year period....you've had 50,000 Euro flow through the account....buying a pallet of paper....boxes of 60 ink-pens (the 12-Euro per pen-type made in Japan), and spending 1,000 Euro on a ultra-nice Samsung cellphone isn't a big deal.  

What type or model of smart-phone are they buying?  Unknown.

If you asked about this?  I would imagine they'd rather not discuss the matter.  But they say that they lug five phones around....one for important party-chat, one for their wife to call, one for journalistic chatter, one for their Russian/Chinese friend to contact, and one for their paramour-situation (love-interest, both guys/gals).

Them reselling over Ebay?  No...never....I just can't imagine some guy for the Green Party being this corrupted.

All of this adding up to 5-million Euro a year?  Well....it's best not to talk over that number.

My Perception

 1.  AC chatter.  We used to have a yearly program in the Air Force....called the 'one-hundred days of summer'....which the base safety officer was supposed to be hyped up and preventing chaos, injury, or death.

The safety officer was always a pilot....for which this was his additional duty, and 75-percent of his yearly evaluation.  I worked in a office with the guy who got stuck into the duty for a year.

Dehydration tips were almost a weekly thing.  At various staff meetings at the wing-level, the squadron-level, and division-level...it got hyped-up and made a big issue.

I look at the heat-wave business of Germany for 2026 and will admit....it was extremely hot for about 30 days this summer (probably 12 more than normal).  Having ten of these in a consecutive fashion?  Yeah...that probably was a big problem.

Would I go and buy a AC unit to chill the whole house (for 4,500 Euro)?  No.  I might have taken 2,000 Euro for a Finland arctic circle trip for 3 weeks.

2.  Natural gas shortage?

Ever since the war (Ukraine-Russia) started up.....German purchase of Russian natural gas has been zero.  For the most part....they buy via a ship deal....having loads delivered and stored in tanks.  

Present level?  They were supposed to have 80-percent of what we needed for a average winter.....by 1 November.  By present count....they won't pass the 70-percent point, and there's some belief that we might not pass the 65-percent point.  

If this were a 5-star extreme winter?  Well....come early January....we'd probably get some warning to lower thermostats to around 17 C (62 F).

This discussion making people skeptical?  I would suggest that most Germans believe there's always going enough natural gas, and when this fails.....'trust' will spiral out of control.

3.  German border controls....extended?

The order went out yesterday....these border-guards (really police on deployed duty) and checking folks as they enter Germany....will continue onto March 2027.  

The odds that it is extended to the end of 2027?  I'd say better than 90-percent chance.

21 August 2026: Germany: 5 Stories

 1.  It's just odd....both ARD and ZDF (public TV of Germany) did a fairly robust report last night....same sources....same quotes...over the limited supply of natural gas in Germany presently, and the anticipation of a national shortage for this winter.

2.  Focus piece....analysis article by Joachim Krause suggesting that Putin must win the war....zero other options.

Hard to imagine a 'win' existing in any fantasy or landscape.   Maybe back in 2023....this was possible. Economically....Russia  is being dragged down to North Korea-level.

3.  Odd developing story....Germany has been offering military training to Ukraine 'recruits'.  Well...Germans now admit recently....at least 80 Ukrainian guys have 'escaped' (run-off) and don't intend to return to the war.   Some suggestions that this event was not the first, and there might be several hundred who've run-off.

4.  Mainz....the city of Mainz ran a project to turn some streets into bike-only situations.  Well...there's a street next to the state parliament (down by the river) where it just happened one day.  You can't drive or drop-off folks (who are the state parliament).  Parliament folks asking what-the-hell-happened here?

5.  EU talking over the idea of banning Russian tourists.

This Meghan and Harry 'Return Home' Story

 Frankly, on my index of caring-about stories...probably 25,000 things....this probably ranks near 24,355.  But I'll offer my four observations:

First, on income....they've burned through everything and if you asked about what's left....they are probably down to the last couple million....with no Netflix deals or bath-oils-to-sell.  This AM....one journalist said Harry's speaking fees have gone from the half-million-level....down to about $50,000 per speech.  

Second, the debt owed to the newspaper lawsuit?  Into several million, and while they say the California residence won't be sold....it'll end up being rented for a year....then in my belief....it'll be sold for some sum of money...to pay the debt.

Third, I don't think Brits care that much over either.  For news hype....the Labour gov't might be happy that negativity in reporting is mostly drawn to the couple for the next six months.

Fourth and final....there are a fair number of guys in their 50s...who have an appreciation of 54-year old yacht-girls.   Maybe there's some commerce to be made over the next year or two....selling 'lust' around to older Brit guys.

Fair-tale value?  Well....yeah, there is that.

Deport Story

 I read through a piece on the Brit Telegraph.....saying that the German government (really the sixteen individual states)....postponed 8,826 forced returns/deportations in the first half of 2026....mostly all due to the folks going into hiding or simply refusing to declare their current address.

So you can get three consequences out of this.

First, AfD will broadcast this widely and 'shame' the CDU-CSU-SPD coalition.  

Second, it begs the question....once you get on a deport-list....just how quick should you react and put folks under control?  Minutes, days, weeks, months?  

Third, the 8,000 folks having no real fear of consequences?  Well....yeah, that's a blunt topic to discuss.

This number....only for the first half of 2026?  Yeah, and that's leading one to ponder...by the end of 2026...will it go beyond 15,000 who disappeared?  Then you wonder....where exactly do they go?  Will they exit Germany, or just hide with some associate?

Why people keep leaning over to vote AfD?  It's BS like this that pops up and voters ask stupid questions.  

20 August 2026: Germany: 8 Stories

 1.  The RKI folks (national health)....did a study and concluded that 40-percent of Germans don't get enough sleep....more so for men, than women.  Varying reasons given, but there's a list of consequences (bad ones)...if you aren't getting enough sleep.

2.  Focus article on Russia....Russians quietly withdrawing their cash from banks....trust on the decline.  Banks/state itself.....now at risk.

3.  Jan Solwyn....former German federal police officer and currently a security analyst....suggests that in major metro cities of Germany....civil-war potential is brewing....because of crime syndicates/families/clans.  He gave a talk, and indicates that it's beyond the control of what exists for the police.

4.  WELT article: local authorities in Koln examining record and actions of the migration office.  Some suggestion that they were anti-deportation.

5.  Just odd numbers that make no sense.  Currently, in Germany....over 9.2 million people are unemployed.....while the national authorities are hyped up saying that is a shortage of skilled workers.

It begs the question....why expect migration to fix/resolve the shortage?

6.  Someone on social media pointed out: More people died in France this year (2026) from not having air conditioning (7,300) than American deaths from mass shootings in all of recorded U.S. history (1,741).

I paused over this numbers-BS....yeah, the point of climate-change and European heat deaths...you eventually drift over to comparisons that make points invalid.

7.  SPD chatter on income tax reform has started up.  CDU-CSU not exactly in agreement on where this is going.  If you were hyped-up....the SPD end-result is probably 300 Euro in your pocket for the whole year.  Not exactly worth opening a bottle of champaign over. 

8.  German natural gas reserves in trouble?  Well....German levels (as of last week) were at the 50-percent point (mandated levels).  At this time a year ago....it would have been at 67-percent.  Reaching the 80-percent point by 1 November (on the books, it is mandatory that they be at that level)....if you use the calculations....they probably will be 66-to-68 percent.

Problems in buying NG?  Tankers are looking for bids and each load has a hefty price tag.

This relating to a winter shortage of natural gas?  It would depend on winter temperatures and how Feb/Mar goes.