What Happens To Ceuta, Spain....In The End?

 The enclave is being set as a 'play'....mostly by the Moroccan gov't, but I would imagine some elements of the Spanish gov't wants to end the enclave arrangement.

So....by spring of 2027....around 10-to-20 percent of the Spaniard residents will have packed up and demanded some arrangement to resettling back to Spain. The federal folks will have to invent some type of tax-revenue bucket....in the 5,000 to 20,000 Euro range....to 'help' these folks, and the rest.

The 22 August 2027 national election?  This one topic will be divided into two or more elements.  How you resettle folks, and how the national gov't allowed this to happen.  

By the end of 2027....there will be a date of final exit (probably summer of 2028) where the last Spaniard has departed.

Ceuta after that period?  On my slum-to-be-index....1-to-10....it'll be near a '8' by the end of 2028.  

The French reaction by the end of 2028?  Well....I'll just stand and predict fencing-and-border-security are hyped-up to a maximum extent.  Most of Europe will see Spain as unstable because of the migration issues.

Three Topics

 1.  Saxony-Anhalt state election....any way for AfD to win and take control of the gov't? 

Well....two ways.

First, with around 43-percent polling....they might win, and if BSW were to take 5-percent of the vote (right now, polls don't suggest that).....the two might partner.  Odds?  I'd give it a 10-percent chance. 

Second, if AfD were to take 46-percent of the vote, and CDU take a lesser vote count (say 19-percent)....there's some potential for AfD to have enough seat to run the gov't without the coalition.  Odds?  I'd give it a 20-percent chance.

So...overwhelming odds....AfD doesn't get enough, with the 2nd place CDU folks forming a weak and marginalized gov't with the Linke, SPD and Greens.

2.  Presently, there is a rule in Germany.....you as a 14/15-year old German kid....may drink, but only in the presence of the parents.  Gov't is about to toss that rule.

3.  They've decided that queer people in Germany....aren't protected enough....to be a vote to change the Constitution....to resolve the problem.

12 August 2026: Germany: 5 Things

 1.  Berlin City leading membership landscape.  There are voting trends, and membership trends.  If you are a dues-paying-member.....you go to the party meetings, and have a say in candidate selection.  Oddly, within Berlin City....the Linke Party now has the most members.

2.  Poll done.....one in five Germans aren't completely 'honest' with their doctor and withhold health information.

3.  Poll done....roughly 85-percent of German society s disgruntled with the CDU-CSU-SPD coalition.  They aren't saying the alternative....just that nothing much positive is coming out of the Merz coalition.

4.  I watched a moderated German discussion group....topic came up.....10-year-old girl raped by 3 Syrians. 

Male member of the discussion group assessed the situation...."We are not in a position to therapize these people. The training of our therapists is tailored to our Central European socialization."

There are no factual numbers to say 5,000 or 12,000 or 30,000 'guests' of Germany need therapy of some type.  Germans are slowly beginning to grasp the mentally ill 'gimmick' and wonder about how things can be resolved.

5.  Last three days of the heat-wave-summer?  Thursday, Friday and Saturday....for my valley....33 C to 35 C....then massive cooling change for the 3rd week of August....done with the heat.  AC unit by Tuesday of next week....going back to the basement.  Figuring wattage used?  Probably 20 days of 12-hours-per-day of use.  

Saxony-Anhalt State Election Polling?

 INSA did a recent poll....way it looks?

AfD will come to around 42-percent.

SPD will be at 6-percent. BSW at 5-percent.

CDU, 22-percent, and Linke at 13-percent.

Everyone else....below 5-percent.

If it holds this way?

AfD marginally will miss controlling the coalition (by itself), and you end up with the CDU....hooked to BSW, SPD, and Linke. 

Yeah....some CDU-voters are not that happy, and if they lost 2-or-3 points (to AfD)....then they manage to win and avoid a coalition requirement. 

The Berlin 'Non-Germans-Only' Pool?

 Based on the hot summer aspect....the city of Berlin has funneled money to NGOs (non-gov't organizations) to support temp-pools.

My description?  It's a above-ground type pool....high quality....maybe five feet deep.  It's all temp in 'build'....a group of a dozen guys come up....probably takes two days to assemble and fill with water.  My wife...upon watching the news clip....naturally asked...what happens to the expensive water....as the fall weather arrives.  I assume it's just dumped down the sewer.

Up till today....no one said much negative about the idea.

Today?  Well....the NGO got a pool placement deal....ONLY for non-Germans (meaning Africans/Mid-East types).  Yeah....you need the correct skin color....to enter.

This attracting AfD attention?  You could suggest that.

The fact that the city-election is not that far off?  Yeah, that is also a part of this story.

App Chatter

 I spent week in Berlin....a couple of months ago.  One aspect that popped up in my mind at the time...compared to three past trips....is the scale of messiness. Graffiti by itself....is fairly noticeable.  But as you walk over the entire city....you walk from 'pile' to 'pile'.  About the only 'safe' area....is the Bundestag buildings.

I noted this AM....the subway 'boss' has approved a new WhatsApp address....where if you notice a 'mess' somewhere around the tram/subway areas.....take a picture....note the location, and send it to the central office.  They've apparently hired several teams that they can dispatch....to clean crap up.

Yeah, it's a low intelligence/low thrill type position.  But someone has to do it.

How did the city get this way?  Lot of Berlin residents talk about this.....most don't remember this being a problem when two Berlins existed (East and West).  Most say it started after 2015, and intensifies every year now. 

Three Observations

 1.  Assaults' on the Bahn for first-half of 2026?

Statistics released yesterday....989 'events' so far in the first half....which freaks out the public, and the railway employees.

If the trend continues....there's likely to be a evolving situation.  

I noted last night....railway employees are now testing/using facial recognition cameras.   So if you triggered an  event....the picture is going direct to some center, and you probably have zero chance in just walking away.

2.  New German law coming into effect over money-laundering.  Once they establish you are participating, and you happen to have property, at 40k Euro watch, or some 150k Euro Porsche.....the law makes it pretty simple in confiscate of everything you 'own'.

3.  Bahn 'bonus' program for upper-level employees...now under a threat?

Gov't is opening up a draft law.....where if they can't improve their on-time situation....there's no yearly bonus.

Politically.....everyone seems to support it.

11 August 2026: Germany: 5 Things

 1.  Duren (NW Germany)....Sunday night....around 20 guys met up as two groups, and a brawl started up on the street.  Bats, hammers, sticks, etc.  Couple of folks carried off in a ambulance.  Discussion topic?  Police don't say.

2.  SPD Party disenchantment over leadership 'duo': Bas and Klingbeil.

Way things are developing....there's to be a extra party meeting in the next two months....probably some type of new leadership deal....probably just one person instead of a duo.

3.  Disagreement in Saxony-Anhalt.....apparently....billions of state welfare money (citizens benefit)....going to non-Germans.  Becoming a election topic.

4.  Concert in Frankfurt....Boy George attending (rock-star from 90s).  Some kind of sound problems....reaches a point where Boy George leaves the stage in anger.

5. Just a weird story that has not concluded yet.

Back in Feb....there was this dismembered male corpse was found in an industrial park in Hessen (my state).

Cops came to believe (still today) that this dead guy was in some type of satanic ritual.

I'll just say there's a lot of weird crap in Germany....but these type of rituals are awful rare.

So....the public prosecutor's office has requested that the body be placed in secure custody, as the perpetrator/killer/assistant is believed to have been legally insane/crazy at the time of the crime.

Classification?  Well....murder at the present time.

The Darmstadt prosecutor's office has filed a holding application for the preventive detention of a 40-year-old suspect.

Oddly, the person in question....is a prostitute.

What's likely to happen?  Well...if she is crazy-crazy....she'll just go off to a secure psychiatric clinic....for the remainder of her life.  The body will be buried, and the case closed.

My question....being near age 40....I'm wondering if she was active for the past 20 years, and if there's a dozen other guys....used for some type of satanic ritual BS. (Best not to discuss stuff like this with Germans....it'd freak them out)