Well....in four weeks....this 'war' likely ends (I presume a break-up and Persia comes to exist with 60-percent of the territory).
Upon a break-up....the US and the Middle East have first 'dibs' on support and contracts.....if you didn't help to bring down the Iran gov't....you will not be welcomed by the new Shah gov't.
Add to this....German-Iranians....are not pro-Iran.....they want the regime to fall.
Pretty simple situation to select sides.
1. Bad case of flu.....now on day 7. Haven't had this 'level' since early 1990s. Was even worse than 2021's Covid. I've been flu-vax 'free' since 1999....never having more than a 24-hour bug.
2. TUI Cruises' "Mein Schiff 4" is currently located near the attacks on US bases in the port of Port Zayed in Abu Dhabi. From what was described....some small rocket hit the ship....minor damage. No one harmed. 2,500 folks on board.
3. Islamic guy seriously injured several clubgoers in Bielefeld with two knives. Some suggestion that he has a ISIS history.
4. Public TV (ARD/ZDF) hyped-up.....30,000 Germans in the war-zone....gotta-be-rescued. Foreign Ministry....in middle of the mess.
Hate to say it....but they'd have to ask the 'evil-Trump' to rescue them out of harm's way.
5. My view of the war?
Look....fuel reserves/diesel-gas-jet fuel....enough for about 4 weeks. After that....nothing is going to move within Iran. The 'bosses' ran a marginalized economy for forty years....never reflecting upon reality.
They locked down the Straits....meaning nothing gets in or out....screws them as much as everyone else.
My prediction? In 4 to 6 weeks....Iran breaks up.....probably into 3 new countries.
