Monday, April 20, 2015

Refugees, Boats, Rafts, and Reality

Over the last couple of years....refugees making their way into Europe have become a billion-dollar industry.  Governments used to be fairly tough on people sneaking in and it wasn't a guaranteed that they would accept you.  Somewhere over the past year or two....things shifted.

What people saw in the Middle East and Africa....was this golden opportunity.  Higher acceptance of refugee status turning into residency and more boats utilized to get you within 'striking' distance of some southern European border.....usually Italy.

So, gangs or men of opportunity (whichever you'd prefer to identify these individuals).....got into the business of buying barely seaworthly boats or rubber rafts, and establishing a bribery system.  Bring in a hundred desperate people.....make them pay at least 500 Euro each, and you walk away with 50,000 Euro per act.

The European countries?  They hyped up rescue operations by the Italians to help save these poor souls on the rubber rafts or marginal boats.  Every week, you'd have the state-run networks in Germany hyping up the positive nature of saving this boat of sixty people and that raft with forty people.  It was a wonderful humanitarian thing that the Italians were doing and thus saving all these poor human beings.

The translation back into the countries of origin?  Continue on.....get the money....make your way to the Libyan coast, and buy your way onto some rubber raft to escape to the 'promised-land'.

This past week......two interesting things happened.

First, it was noted that on one such rubber raft.....a number of Islamic guys forced a number of Christian guys to jump overboard and drown.  The story isn't tied down yet and the number of deaths involved appears to be around five to ten.  The Islamic guys who made it?  Rescued by the Italians once again?  They were bound for court action and there will be some type of murder charge prepared for some of them.

Shocker for the German public?  Yeah.....it opens a discussion over who is on the desperation list and maybe there ought to be some more debate about this whole refugee business.

But we come to episode number two, which is just as interesting.  A boat capsized and went under.....maybe 900-to-1,000 refugees onboard?  The number drifts up and down depending on who tells the story.

Why not just open a air bridge and fly 50,000 refugees a week into Europe and dump them on various countries?  Well...no, that's not exactly going to be acceptable by the bulk of European societies.  As long as you 'bleed' them across.....100 here.....400 there.....800 next week.....that's acceptable.  Bulk refugee situations and into the tens of thousands per week?  That would scare the crap out of most societies in Europe.

The intellectural guys will gear up for German public debate and talk about the noble causes here, and why saving the refugees is of the highest priority.  The comical side of this is that their forum support goes in favor of a billion-dollar rubber-boat movement empire.  You could go to China and buy three-hundred of these sixty-passenger rubber rafts.....get an old fishing boat to pull your 'customers' out of some Libyan port, and simply get them half way to Italy.....dumping them there and walking away with $30,000 in profit for a single day of work.  In a month.....a once-a-day operation could get you $900,000.

Long term.....neither the intellectuals or the political parties of Germany can really predict where this goes and how mass open immigration doors being open will be the cornerstone of a future Germany.  If you were recruiting refugees with science degrees or significant backgrounds for future jobs.....maybe it'd make sense.  But presently, there's just not any real strategy here.

More debate?  Probably, but I don't see it changing much of anything.  The rubber raft industry is a guaranteed bet and worth investing into.....as far as I see the future..

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