1. Odds of an early election?
The normal set date is 28 Sep 2025. It is possible that the coalition will fall apart before then, and a early election will occur. Odds? I'd give it a 40-percent chance at present....mostly due to the draft budget for 2025 (still stalled).
2. Top three topics for the Sep 2025 election?
I'd say the economic spiral, saving VW, and migration issues (includes crime, amount of support, and curtailing the flow).
3. Chancellor Scholz running for the SPD Party?
Well...yes, he says he's in the race. Most people expect the CDU to win....if this Scholz candidacy continues on. If he's replaced on the ticket? Whole new ballgame.
4. Greens hurt badly now?
Look....last week....polling said they are at the 9-percent point. That's about half the votes that they would have had three years ago. They can't seem to find anything effective to talk on.
5. BSW Party growing?
They seem to be having arguments between BSW-national and BSW-at-state-levels. This idea that they'd grow to 15-percent? I suspect it's mostly BS and they are a party set to 8-to-9-percent nationally. Key position of BSW noted? Anti-Ukraine posture.
6. Property tax revision to be a hot critical topic?
Yes, without any doubt....I'd say more than half the property owners in Germany...aren't happy with the new tax concept.
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