Saturday, August 19, 2023

Public Frustration?

 INSA went out and did a public survey with Germans....asking a 'silly' question....would you want a new election and new government?  

Answer....two out of three Germans said 'yes'.

Somewhere in the questions....polling went to 'how would you vote' and the SPD Party (leading the coalition government.....managed to only get 18-percent (pretty crappy position). 

How did they manage to reach this point....two years after the last election?

I would say four basic issues:

1. Scholz as Chancellor....hasn't been selling things well.  He hasn't screwed up or gotten into some chaos....but his charm/wit angle....is  marginal.

2.  The heat-pump emergency has not sold well, and you can blame the Green Party for most of that chaos.

3.  We are still in a recession spiral (my humble view), and nothing has really been resolved.

4.  The Ukraine-Russia war has consumed a fair amount of German gov't resources/effort. 

In a normal period....the CDU-CSU folks would be really thrilled right now (it would be a great position), but AfD is lingering there....at 20-percent in polling.  

To be honest, if AfD picked out a major topic or two to add (like the German poverty-stricken society)...they could probably add five points onto their status.

The fact that neither ARD/ZDF can't help reform the SPD theme/message?  That's an odd part of the story.  Maybe it's fewer people watching them than a decade ago, or the effect of social media. 

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