Sunday, February 4, 2024

Russia-Ukraine Chatter

Since the beginning of the war, there's about 200 billion Euro of Russia funds...frozen within the EU.  The EU (this past week) agreed that as interest occurs....it's to be given to the Ukraine.  Figure around 3-billion Euro yearly.  

Yesterday....the Bundestag Vice President (Green Party politician Katrin Göring-Eckardt) spoke up and said of the 200 billion Euro....it should be handed entirely over to the Ukraine.

Legal?  By them voting on it....in their mind, they made it legal.

I noticed this AM....Tucker Carlson arrived in Moscow yesterday, and likely has a hour or two interview with Putin.

What's to be asked?  I'm  guessing he'll ask what it takes for the war to end.  He might ask how legit Putin thinks of the 2020 US election.  He might ask about Covid and it originally came (from the lab).  He might ask if Russia has a collection of crashed UFOs like the US has.   He might ask about the 1990s and the NATO movement to the east....made most of this present chaos.

Personally?  I think the war will conclude this year....mostly over the manpower/hardware lost, and Russia ends on paper with Crimea and a similar sized chunk of Ukrainian property deeded over.  This 2nd property of any value? No, and that's really the serious part of the story.  The EU and the US will help Ukraine rebuild....but the Crimea and this 2nd chunk of land....will get little to no support because most money that Russia makes....needs to rebuild the military.  So this entire region will be poverty-stricken for decades.  

There are no winners in this mess....just losers.

3 comments:

Bigus Macus said...

If Germany / EU hands Russian funds over to Ukraine, then what foreign country would ever want to invest with them again? Germanys wokeness is destroying them.

Bigus Macus said...

The EU / NATO / Germany are the root cause of the Ukraine war, but they seem to have forgotten that.

Schnitzel_Republic said...

On the interest of frozen money, I might see some logic of giving that money to Ukraine, but at the end of this...all of the frozen money has to be released back to Russia, or you end up with Russian Special Forces people wandering around Europe and blowing up banks to make a point. I don't think the bureaucrats grasp the ownership angle.

On NATO/US admitting this 1990 'mistake'...it'll never happen. But part of this fault is the Bosnia/Yugoslavia war business, and no one wised-up to lessening tensions. Bush might have gone this way, but then he had 9-11.

Presently, Russia has probably gone from a 4-star threat to NATO to presently a 2-star threat. It'll take 3 decades to rebuild on tanks/APCs. If you asked me on Trump arriving in 2025, and exiting US forces totally out...I'd say little will be left except for a base or two in the UK by 2029.