1. Historically-speaking....the majority of coup d'état efforts fail. You can analyze these to the 9th degree, and it's a wild mix....sometimes by poor planning....sometimes by poor leadership....sometimes by dumb luck.
2. The first time coup d'état got noted? Coup of 18 Brumaire on November 9–10, 1799....when Napoleon Bonaparte...backed by Emmanuel-Joseph Sieyès, overthrew the French Directory and established the French Consulate.
3. Odd US plot that failed. A group of ultra-wealthy...far-right (always those bastards) political conspirators allegedly plotted to overthrow President Franklin D. Roosevelt. In their plan...it was to replace him with a fascist-style (but business-friendly) regime. The scheme collapsed after retired Marine Corps General Smedley Butler, whom the plotters approached to lead the coup, exposed the conspiracy to Congress.
4. Only successful US coup? The Wilmington 1898 Coup d'État. This occurred on 10 November 1898.
White supremacists (Klan guys) overthrew the biracial, locally elected government in Wilmington, North Carolina.
History notes that a couple of dozen black residents were executed. The effort also destroyed a Black-owned newspaper, and forced elected officials to resign at gunpoint.
5. Most noted German coup (failure). The Palm Sunday Putsch (German: Palmsonntagsputsch) of 13 April 1919.
Basically...a Bavarian militia attempted (failed) to overthrow the week-old Bavarian Soviet Republic.
German historians usually say that the putsch/coup....failed due to the resistance of German communist fighters (WW I experience) who supported the communist Bavarian Soviet Republic.
About 2 to 3 weeks after this failed coup....the Bavarian Soviet Republic was overthrown in early May 1919....mostly by efforts military-wise....by forces of the Weimar Republic.
6. It is a statistical fact.....bloodless coups or low-violence coups...have a higher success rate. But these are noted as such...mostly because of speed, surprise, and keeping communications under control.
7. US-led coup in Iran....gives us the mess of today?
Back in 1953....there was a Iranian Coup (Operation Ajax).....led by MI6/CIA folks.
This effort was to kick out democratically elected Prime Minister Mohammad Mosaddegh and restore the Shah (Mohammad Reza Pahlavi) to power.
You can make the statement....this only led to the 1979 Iranian Revolution....which confronts us today.
8. The Tusk Coup? On failure points....I'd say they should not have started the coup until the Polish President had landed in Africa, and ensured that his plane was broke.
The police used in surrounding the Supreme Court building? A fair number had un-numbered helmets/riot jackets....which was odd. So far the only explanation suggested is that they were police academy students....not full-up police members.
The order to issue out machine guns/ammo to the riot-police? On paper, it exists....but oddly, there's zero evidence that some folks at the building had the guns or ammo.
Oddly, this judge who claims 'top-dog' status....has yet to make the statement....that she works for the PM (Tusk). You are left to assume this.
The coup over? Well...this 'top-dog' judge has ordered that a meeting Supreme Court judges will occur on Tuesday, and on the books....this meeting is still likely a part of the coup. So I'd say....coup-wise, it's not really ended yet.
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