Well....several journalists have talked to FDP Party members, and their 'hint' is that they've agreed....the budget battle going on....has a must-conclude-date, or they will collapse the coalition.
How messed up is the budget? About a month ago....things were settled.
Then the VW folks stood up and said they are going to collapse unless things change, and 5-billion Euro is found to carry them though 2025. In the past couple of days....the Labor Ministry had to admit that their 2025 budget might be missing 4.5 billion (some say it's closer to 9-billion)....to cover the welfare fund. The Finance Ministry says they don't have billions left to throw around and won't add another tax.
Could they carve off a couple billion from Ukraine's war effort fund? Yeah. Could they delay a bridge or two on renovation....going into 2026? Yeah. Could they cut 2-billion off the German military for a single year? Yeah.
The problem is.....no one is sure about next week or next month....there might be five or six other emergencies coming up, and the budget can't handle any more problems.
A collapse leading to a CDU victory? Yeah....but the discussion becomes....who is the coalition partner in this case? Greens? SPD? BSW?
Then the coalition building process....isn't the question of changing the migration situation at the top of the list? Most people think that.
Polls showing the public ready for an election? For more than a year.....it's been a 50-percent or more situation....Germans wanting a fresh new election. Back in July, I saw a poll where 80-percent of Germans were keen on the idea of a fresh election.
Scholz gone? I'd say it's a 99-percent chance.
A evolution coming for asylum changes? That's what a fair sum of people are thinking.
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