Monday, August 19, 2019

The Odds of a New Negotiation for the BREXIT Folks?

Zero.

Yep, it's not even a five-percent chance.

The EU doesn't care, and the leadership of France and Germany believe that the system is rigged up enough that the UK simply won't exit.  Delay after delay, in their mind.....will eventually lead to BREXIT collapsing and bring the crowd back. 

What happens when Johnson rigs the system to deliver a hard BREXIT?  I'm one of those people who believe that a fair sized recession will occur and harm not only the UK, but the EU countries as well.  The US will come in and sign a trade agreement of a massive size with the UK, and a number of surprising changes will occur with relations between the US and the UK. 

Brits leaving the UK for Europe?  I believe in the end....at least a million Brits will pack up and leave.  But if you give this crowd a decade.....more than half of them will eventually return to the UK.

For theatrics?  It's a five-star opera, and you have to admire the various characters involved, and how much anger this generated. 

So a year or two after the exit, and normalcy has returned.....does this suggest that other countries may follow the UK 'exit'?  That's the real question to ask. 

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