Thursday, June 27, 2019

Chancellor Merkel: Second Trembling Episode?

Well....yes, this morning at a indoor ceremony.....well ahead of the heat, you could view a 60-second video, and note the Chancellor in another health episode....trembling.

Explanation?  None.  Although a support guy came up shortly after the speech and passed her a glass of water.  She'll pretend it's heat and dehydration. 

My view?  I don't think she wants to discuss the matter in public, and she has a resign date already in her mind (after the three state elections in September/October).  In three weeks, she would normally start the summer vacation period, and basically disappear for three to four weeks.  My bet is that she wants to avoid any discussion, and just make it through the vacation period....showing back up in Berlin around early August. 

If she goes, what happens next?  The SPD could split off and kill the coalition.  My belief is that they really don't want that to happen, and trigger a new election.  So they will agree to the CDU having a replacement situation....but probably list three or four people acceptable within the CDU. 

Merz on that list?  Maybe not....but right now, he's probably the better replacement. 

Would a new Chancellor help right now?  Yes.  Even back in 2017....around 60-percent of the public in a poll suggested that they preferred a new Chancellor. 

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