Tuesday, June 11, 2019

Upcoming State Election

With the Brandenburg state election about 80 days away.....a poll was done and noted on German public TV today.

What they hint at....is that the AfD is now leading the pack and has a 21-percent situation polling.  The Greens have risen up in the past month, and now rate at 17-percent (3rd place), with the SPD party slightly ahead (18-percent).

The CDU is tied with the Greens (at 17-percent), and the Linke Party rests at 14-percent.  The FDP?  At a marginal 5-percent.

If this holds out....it sends a strong signal that the AfD is capable of taking on more voters and they haven't topped out yet.  Taking control of the government?  NO.  They'd have to have two parties signed up as coalition partners, and there's virtually no chance of that.

The problem here is that it'll be a flat-out race between the Greens and CDU for second place.  Whoever wins, has to form a government, and there's a difficult path here. 

If the AfD were to move up a notch or two...say closer to 27-percent?  It'll make it harder for the 2nd place winner to find the right combo for this coalition government at the state level. 

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