Monday, July 20, 2020

Covid-19 Story

I saw this today.

So here's the thing about statistics....comparing two different numbers.  One number is relative to the other, in the end.

So with all these tests accomplished in the US for Covid-19, you end with x-number, and then you compare the death count.  Well....in the past week....the US reached the point where it's even less than Germany or Japan (don't even bring France in a conversation).

How?  Well....some folks say that when several states starting throwing the antibodies test results into the 'bucket'.....that result meant a whole bunch of folks had marginal symptoms and never got officially tested for Covid-19.  But they now count for the results.  The proper way to count?  I tend to question it, but numbers are just numbers in the end. 

2 comments:

Daz said...

Given the number of cases that were asymptomatic, it kind of makes the stats a bit irrelevant. No. Of deaths per population will probably be the only really relevant metric worth examining during the wash up.

Schnitzel_Republic said...

Down in Italy about a month ago, they went and did the anti-bodies test in some village. NOT everyone volunteered (1st problem). But they probably got around 50-percent of the residents. So out of this, 40-percent were asymptomatic types.

All of this makes you kinda wonder if the whole village had volunteered, you might have reached 50-percent being asymptomatic. This should lead you to three categories...people who won't ever get ill from this....people who have a week or so of mild-to-bad flu situation....then finally the people who really do have a weak immune system (secondary conditions) and ought to be getting top care. This last group is the one I'd worry about.