1. The swapping out of the Chancellor idea.
There are basically three scenarios.
First, do nothing and keep Merz. This would likely cause a continued downward spiral for the CDU and SPD parties....and by the next election (early 2029)...the CDU-CSU-SPD totals would be in the combined 25-to-30-percent range.
Second, dump Merz and bring in Hendrik Wüst (Premier-President of the state of NRW). He's intellectual enough, and would likely be agreeable. On resolving economic problems....don't expect much. Next election results? CDU-CSU likely in the 20 percent range...mostly because of economic woes.
Third, dump Merz and bring in Bavarian Premier-President Soder. Roughly the same end-result....I might say next election results are in the 20-to-24 percent range.
So it doesn't matter....with any plan...the CDU weakens itself.
2. The German federal government is planning to participate in a new North-South Commission. I had to look up the purpose.
It's mostly a group of 20 to 30 countries....well-to-do types and economic poor types.
Who the Germans are putting on for representation? Former Chancellor Olaf Scholz.
I'm not saying it's worthless....but it just seems like a media-output machine.
3. I got to reading a commentary yesterday, and the key 'pitch'....some things starting to add up....making the Merz-coalition resemble the 1920s Weimar-Republic.
This Weimar-period....roughly a dozen years....never seemed to lift-off or get ahead. Some folks feel the same in 2026.
4. Mercosur trade deal.....yesterday....I came across a delivery of Brazilian coffee deal.
63 tons of green coffee from Brazil had arrived in Poland…got inspected.... damaged beans and live parasites inside.
5. EU says it'll be sanctioning the Chinese internet platform Temu with the help of the Digital Services Act.
Reaction by China? Not yet...but by the middle-of-June....I expect China to stage a EU-meeting.
6. I sat this week and was watching a SWR(regional public network) news piece (for the Pfalz state).
Some wife got stabbed by the husband 43 times. I asked my German wife....where this craziness comes from....she responded it's not a German couple. Yeah, what SWR left out of the story....the couple (both)...were Turks.
Yeah, my wife has developed a perception on the news....if it sounds crazy....it's not a German involved.
7. I watched five segments of the ARD/ZDF public TV news....where they wanted me to know of six heat-deaths via drowning.....which led back to global warming.
I asked AI about this...from a 1930s prospective. From 1930 to 1940.....the number of drownings per year in Germany....ranged from 3,000 to 3,600. Curiously, prior to 1913....when funding came up to have swimming courses....the average was in the 5,000 per year range. The past 20 years? Well....it goes from 300 to 500 deaths per year from drowning.
So, I asked AI...what were the chief causes of drowning. Grok pointed out....the warmer the weather....the more of a 'magnet' lakes are for cooling off.....so it's very unlikely to drown in Germany when the temp's are 15 to 20 C....very likely when it's 30-plus.
But then, we come to the 'other' factors: Common aggravating factors....like alcohol use (impairs judgment/balance; involved in up to ~70% of adult recreational water deaths), fatigue/exhaustion, inadequate supervision (especially of kids), overconfidence in swimming ability, and not wearing life jackets. (CDC)
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