If you use current polls (August)...the center-right PP Party is in first place....and a PSOE (Sanchez left-of-center crew) majority within reach. Three points separate them.
Rumored election day? 29 November now.
In the control of seats? PP (right-of-center) is figured to take around 139 seats, and VOX (right-wing) would take near 64 seats. You need 176 seats to have coalition. The 4th and 5th place parties? They'd take a max of ten seats (not really figured into anything).
So there are three things falling into play....Sanchez as PM....is probably gone. With all this migration-hype....you can figure some type of massive change is in the pipeline....destined for January-February action. Finally, a lot of the left-of-center social promises of the past decade....probably are going to dissolve.
If you asked me the problems in this election? I'd say unemployment for youth, housing issues, migration, safety-security, and dynamics of tourism overwhelming 'reality'.
Could the Sanchez crew pull out a miracle of 4-to-6 points plus? Yes....if they were to hype the housing crisis and fixing unemployment numbers.
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