Germany, and going all the way back to the times of West Germany.....never had a 'cap' to exist over immigrants and migrants entering the country. Until the last decade, it never needed to be discussed. For the most part, going back to the late 1980s, the nation had roughly 250,000 folks a year who did the asylum, immigration or migration effort.
After 2015, and the 1.1-odd million (sometimes told by the government to be 900,000)....various folks felt the need for a top number to exist....a cap.
So after this September election....the number discussed by the CSU (the Bavarian sister party of the CDU), was 200,000. To make the CSU happy, Merkel and the team agreed to the 200,000 number. Then it went to the coalition talks with the Greens and the FDP, with this 200,000 cap number as the base of any topic relating to migration or immigration.
For the Greens, this 200,000 number is a problem. They'd prefer no number to exist. For the FDP, 200,000 is where they want the whole coalition to be in agreement.
So, a new agenda topic came up....quietly and rarely discussed in public TV forums...family members of those already allowed into Germany....would get a chance to enter and NOT be listed under the 200,000 number. The limit on family numbers? No limit. How far this might reach? No one wanted to really talk about in public. If you made into the German system and had a visa....bringing Mom and Dad would be simple....but what about your cousins? Your cousin's wife? Their extended family? You could be talking about one single guy, who wanted to bring 20 members of his family into Germany. Maybe you'd be talking about 25,000 in one single year.....maybe 75,000.....or perhaps even 300,000.
You can sense how it would be in the room and these number discussions being carried out. And if you brought these twenty relatives into the country.....might each of them have another twenty relatives extended out, and over ten years.....this might add up to three to five million? Well, that's the thing, you just didn't know what the numbers would add up to.
The problem of an ID? Well, yeah, that's another issue. What if X wanted to bring four nephews into Germany....with a marginal ID for each, and you found out two years later that none of the four are actual nephews...just fake nephews. What if X wanted to bring twelve members of the family in, and you found that the twelve were all fake and had paid X some fee.....like 60,000 Euro....to claim the fake family?
For the Greens, none of this doubt existed in their mind. They were obsessed with just keeping this vast door open. The 200,000 cap that the CSU created....looked nice on paper and made their voters in Bavaria happy....giving Merkel some breathing room. But in the real world....the 200,000 cap meant nothing, if this family open door was existing with no cap.
So here we are....a remaining problem from 2015 and the 'kids' running the candy store. Merkel can't resolve this or move forward.
Even with another election likely in February now.....the topic of the family immigration policy will still come back. You can't resolve this, unless you establish a cap on the family issue.
The other minor issue over this....if X had twenty family members he wanted to bring into Germany....would they all come to where X is located....is NRW (the northwestern part of Germany), where unemployment is significant now, and the communities overloaded already with refugees and migrants? Would you force the incoming family members to migrate to another state....say Bavaria? Would this be legal to force them into another region to settle? All problems, with no real room for discussion.
So, when you sit and see the public news crowd try to step around this topic and barely discuss it in front of the nation.....this is the core of the situation. It's a topic with no answer and no foundation.
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