Saturday, January 25, 2020

Explaining the Decrease in In-Country Flights

I noticed this short story last night off ZDF (German public TV, Channel Two) that went over the trend of lesser passengers for 2019, within Germany.

Most people want to say that fewer passengers traveled last year (1.9-percent less than 2018), and its because of carbon chatter, and worry over climate change.

Well....no.

There are three reasons (which ZDF pointed out two of these):

1.  Germanwings (the airline) went on a serious strike episode, and they specialize in a number of German city-to-German city flights.  That occurred in the last couple of months of the year.

2.  Some trends in raising prices....particularly after the mid-way point of the year.....might have triggered some Germans to think about the cost, and alternate cheaper ways of getting from Munich to Berlin, or Hamburg to Frankfurt.

3.  Finally, the Thomas Cook bankruptcy.  While most Germans who bought packages via Thomas Cook....were looking for major trips.....I'd take a guess that thousands walked in and bought in-country flights for special occasions, and were effectively 'screwed' by the bankruptcy, thus missing their flights.

The odds that the downward trend will continue through 2020?  I have serious doubts. 

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