This past week, the government of Norway collapsed. To be correct, the coalition government (in existence since 2017) was dependent upon a right-of-center party (the Progress Party, getting 15-percent in the last election) being a partner.
Well, things went south as a former Norway resident, who'd gone off to the ISIS War in Iraq....got governmental support to return. Once she arrived, the problem arose that she'd been a participant in the war. The coalition government basically wanted to overlook that little problem and just pretend it wasn't a big deal.
What happens now? The woman (former ISIS member) stays, and the government says that they will run a minority government for next year or so....getting them to September 2021....when another election can occur.
The expectations? You can run a marginal form of government with a minority situation....for a limited period of time. Generally, unless the news media helps out.....your respect among the public isn't that great.
The odds here that the right-of-center party (the Conservative Party) will edge out the Labour Party? The Labour won the election last time with 27.4 percent....barely two points more than the Conservative Party. Presently, I'd take a guess that the Labour Party will take a five-point loss on the next election, and a right-of-center group will win, but have a tough time forming a coalition. This will simply lead to marginalized government over the next few years and public frustration about the lack of cohesiveness.
A continued handcuff with the ISIS mess? That's really the problem laying there, and the left-of-center folks across Europe can't really resolve it without making a fair number of people angry.
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