1. Picked up the story from yesterday.....age 17 to 45 men in Germany....if you are leaving for 90-plus days....you need 'permission' to be out of the country.
So I asked Grok (AI) to note number of German affected. 15-million.
How many German guys are affected out of this....going to university outside of the country....or working, playing pro-soccer, or just goofing off outside of Germany? No rational number, but I take a guess at 100,000 in a average year who are fitting in a plus-90 day situation.
If the gov't did mandate a draft....then the problem comes up....based on polls....somewhere between 40 and 55 percent of young guys just would not participate.
2. Reviewed latest poll....if a fed-election were forced....combined, the CDU-CSU-SPD coalition would ONLY total 38-percent.....not enough to win. Even with a four-partner situation....with the Greens....this might only get near 49 percent.
3. Impending jet-fuel crisis....creating a massive wave of summer vacations cancelled?
Well...there's talk of this. I'd say at the end of April....you'd have a better view of this. If there were 30-to-40 percent of summer flights curtailed....there would be a massive causality of economic woes to occur.
4. Fuel discount via tax-relief? The German Economics Minister says 'NO'.
End of April....if E-10 fuel reaches 2.30 or more....Chancellor will be under enormous pressure for some type of tax-cut on fuels....my humble belief.
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