Updated polling by INSA:
AfD: 28-percent
CDU-CSU: 24-percent
SPD: 14-percent
Greens: 12-percent
Linke: 11-percent
BSW or FDP: 3-percent each.
So, I'll just say it....at the point where AfD gets to around 32-percent....while they can't form a gov't.....the CDU-CSU is forced into a leadership role....forcing them to partner (coalition) with the SPD, AND Greens.
This would put the CDU-CSU into a ultimate weakened state....where half of the priorities are left-leaning, and dilute the CDU-CSU vote.
I would offer the opinion....two years of this weakened 'state' of existence would lead to a collapse, and the AfD in the next election would be near 45-percent....massively weakening the CDU-CSU even more.
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