The AfD Party has been holding the yearly 'big' congress meeting the past 24 hours....in Erfurt.
Lot of public TV coverage (via ZDF/ARD)....more so on the protest folks, than the meeting itself.
Protest 'bosses' say 50,000 protest attendees. Cops are saying at the peak....mid-afternoon....25,000.
In terms of blocking AfD attendees? Zero success.
Three remaining state elections for 2026 and potential 'gains' for AfD? Berlin City election (20 Sep), Sachsen-Anhalt (6 Sep), and Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (20 Sep).
Berlin? AfD will likely take 16-percent of the vote. Five parties in Berlin with a chance of 16-percent or more of the vote....fairly divided.
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? Latest INSA poll suggests 35-percent 'win'....but no ability to form a coalition.
Sachsen-Anhalt? INSA says currently....AfD at 41-percent. But there is this odd factor.....at least four parties with 5-percent or less in the forecast. You only get seats if you have 5-percent or more. By the numbers game....there's 17-percent of the vote that may not get results. So you do the math, and find that AfD is fairly close to 50-percent and will not require a coalition. I'm not saying that this path is possible...only that the math gives this funny option.
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