Thursday, October 12, 2017

Coalition Update

Focus put up an interesting story over the coalition-building attempt by Chancellor Merkel with the FDP and Green Party folks.

Basically....it's going to be awful complicated and some people think it won't reach an agreeable stage until the Christmas period (likely meaning mid-December).  Normally (using the past five elections)....this coalition-building stage would take four to six weeks. 

The list of sticking points?  Taxation, immigration, rent-control, the electrical grid, renewable energy, diesel cars, electric cars, banking, and the list goes on and on.

You've got various characters who believe they are precise solution to everyone ills and woes.  Agendas are absolute.  You can pick through several listings of the people near the top for each party and find individuals who just aren't willing to lessen their hyped-up talk over politics and the way ahead.

The potential for failure, and no coalition coming out of this?  People are careful not to suggest that.  The problem is that if you get to mid-December, and Merkel admits failure....you have to go and have another election.  My guess is that it'd have to occur by early March....giving the parties roughly ten weeks to build and run another campaign.  The CDU would have to go and explain the failure reason (mostly because of inability to get the Greens to the same stage). 

I will say this....by AfD participating in this election and getting twelve-percent....they set the stage for this coalition-situation being a major problem.

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