Wednesday, May 29, 2019

BREXIT: The Endgame?

Most Brits will say that they figured PM May would have been gone either shortly after Christmas of 2018....and suggest they are surprised that she made it this far.

Looking at the mess left now.....I will offer these five observations:

1.  The new PM selection process is solely within the senior committee, and they will whittle this down to two choices, and the party members will vote on them.  Boris Johnson, the obvious 'please exit today' guy?  I don't think he'll be among the final two choices.....mosty because the bulk of party members in the Parliament want a deal.....which the EU can't deliver, and they don't want a no-deal exit (guaranteed by Johnson by mid-fall of this year).

2.  The next PM....likely NOT Johnson....will be a card-holder only, and likely will resign by spring of 2020.

3.  The Tory Party and the Labour Party.....I would suggest....are finished by the end of 2019. 

4.  The UK still in the EU at the beginning of 2020?  Yes.  And the EU will be standing there and just shaking their head because this in and out status is a topic that simply won't go away.

5.  The BREXIT Party will be around, and when the national election is finally held....they will take around 40-percent of the vote.  Whether you like it or not.....Nigel Farage will eventually be PM of England, but there will still be enough opposition votes to prevent the exit from the EU. 

So, believe it or not....there is no endgame.....it just continues on. 

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