This EU Election

In approximately two weeks, the EU legislative election occurs.  This year (2019) is a bit different from the past couple of elections.

First, the BREXIT factor exists.  Everyone in Europe (even in the UK) going back to the fall of 2018.....was told that the Brits were not going to participate in this election, and that they'd be 'OUT' by this point.  Well....the experts and EU political folks were wrong. 

How do things look in the UK?  A new party out of thin air....called the BREXIT Party will likely take the majority of votes (some polling suggest 32-percent).  It's possible that the UKIP party (right now fighting for 4-percent), might urge their folks at the last minute to go and vote BREXIT Party, and you could see possibly on up to 36 to 37 percent. 

Second, there are right-wing parties all over Europe....existing mostly because of the German migration business from 2013 to now. Each country has their own view (some fairly negative) about migration and immigration, and it's charged-up people in various countries (especially Austria, Poland, Italy, etc). 

Just in Germany alone, the AfD folks might be getting up around 12-to-13 percent of the vote.  If you look across all of the EU, it's possible that the anti-migration related parties might get 20-percent of the total EU vote.

Third, the regular parties are starting to get worried about the influence of the right-wing in EU politics.  Last night, Germany's public TV folks (ARD) ran a 45-minute prime-time piece which talked to the populism factor.  It was a fairly negative piece over the AfD Party, and the others like it in Europe.....almost suggesting (without saying).....NAZI-like. 

What generally worries the normal parties?  In a normal EU election....60-percent of the public showing up is normal.  Folks don't get charged up or that enthusiastic (especially in Germany).  If the AfD folks did get their crowd hyped up and doubled the ones who showed up?  Well, that's the general worry....this might go up to around 70-percent and only help AfD. 

The humorous part of this whole story is that prior to 2013, the whole EU election business was just a casual election that the bulk of voters in Germany didn't feel that inspired about.  So with the help (maybe a bit of incompetence from the CDU, SPD, and Green Parties) of politics and migration....this is now a fired-up election.