Tuesday, October 4, 2022

The Tactical Nuke Scenario

 First, I would be willing to suggest that almost none of the Conscripts currently in the front....have ever gone and practiced an exercise where nuke weapons and fallout were part of the warfare.....so they have zero capability in this situation.

Second, I don't think NATO will sit to the side once one tactical nuke has been used to 'demonstrate' capability.  

Third, I'm not convinced that Ukraine has zero nuke weapons.  They could have engaged with any number of players in the world (Israel for one) and gotten enough knowledge and hardware to build their own nuke.  Putin likely discounts this....thinking the FSB/KGB would have heard about this.

Finally, the pro-Putin Russians will still gather under his theme.  But I suspect this would be the final straw for several million Russians to put a exit-plan into play.....leaving Russia over the next couple of months.  

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