I probably watched four hours of German TV yesterday...covering the gov't collapse. I can make seven observations:
1. With the meeting (30 minutes) yesterday between Chancellor Scholz and CDU's Merz....nothing has occurred. Scholz will not call for a confidence vote until the 15th of January. There will be a minority gov't during this entire period, with more or less....zero accomplishments.
2. Polling data by ARD (public TV) says two out of three Germans want a no-confidence vote NOW (with a national vote before Christmas).
3. Most Germans (probably in the 60-percent range) are in disbelief how this all came about. Lot of man-on-the-street interviews done by ZDF/ARD.
4. Key detail in this budget fight between the Finance Minister and the Chancellor? Promised money for Ukraine.
5. Scholz is mostly finished....I can't see him in the new election running. SPD Party have to replace him for the campaign.
6. Key thing I learned yesterday.....no one but the Chancellor can call for a no-confidence vote.
7. News media crapping all over the SPD and Green Party in this 8-week period? Campaign-wise....nothing can start until no-confidence vote occurs. Every day that reporters covers this event....makes Scholz look 'bad'. For this reason alone.....the SPD Party probably needs to step in and let Scholz go.
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