Lately, I've been interested in the German gov't plan to mandate heat-pumps (in 2024).....over natural gas/heating oil furnaces. If you had a aging system....say 15 years old....you'd have to consider the impact of cost and installation....to meet the law that has been written into effect..
So today, this odd statement came up.....from the managing director of ZSHK (heating association)....Helmut Bramann.
Bramann says that at best right now....across Germany....there are 40,000 technicians certified to install heat pumps. Behind them....another 30,000 trainees (people who would be finished on school training and certified in the next year or two). For most part, these trainees are young guys/gals in apprentice training today.
So Bramann then says....for any hope to meet the 2030 goal set by the government.....there would have be an additional 60,000 technicians in training right now (they don't exist presently).
Did the government even take into account the technicians required, and the man-hours for each home renovation? I doubt it.
The numbers expected (by the government)....being faked-up? You can't help but think that it's just a bunch of PhD guys throwing around ideas and the boss said 'sure', and someone drafted up a law.
The problem that you might own a house and be operating with a 14-year old oil furnace in 2028, and it's on it's last legs....maybe one more winter left before it dies.....with the heating technician telling you that the heat pump schedule is such...that he can't get to you....for 18 months? Then you call the second guy....getting the same response. The 3rd guy....the 4th guy....the 5th guy? All the same?
The government now creating a barrier when you can't heat your home in winter? I could see that scenario unfolding.
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