So there are three state elections in a one-month period of 2027...which matter.
First, Schleswig-Holstein. If you view polls....done in July (nothing since then)...CDU leads with 27-percent....SPD at 15-percent....Greens at 17-percent, and AfD at 18-percent. Linke at 7-percent, with BSW and FDP both at 6-percent.
Oddly, nothing new since early July. If you asked me over changes....CDU probably no longer sits at 27-percent....probably closer to 21-percent. I'd also speculate that the SPD is closer to 12-percent...with this a race by the Greens and AfD mostly.
Second, Saarland. Any polls in 2026? NO....oddly, zero polling. Toward the end of 2025....one poll put the CDU at 25-percent and the SPD Party at 27-percent. AfD was at 23-percent.
If you asked me over changes? I'd say both the CDU and SPD were closer to 23-to-24 percent, and AfD likely leads with 26-percent (my speculation).
Third, Nordrhein-Westfalen (NRW). Sep 2026 poll shows the CDU at 29-percent (down three from six months ago). Greens at 18-percent, and SPD at 14-percent. AfD at 22-percent.
Except for NRW....there's nothing much for the CDU to brag about. For the SPD Party...if you were a liberal voter (lefty)....you are more likely to vote Green, than SPD.
I can see a reason or two to collapse the federal gov't presently, but saying the SPD 'gains' some positive numbers? No....it's mostly a Green Party gain.
Merz carrying any weight or 'hope' for April? No....that's a given in the situation.
No comments:
Post a Comment