Saturday, August 6, 2016

Crime by German Standards

This week.....the German Handelsblatt ran a great graphic for the Thursday edition.  The two-pager had to deal with crime statistics over the past ten years.

So, let's start with murders in Germany.  In 2006, there were 991 murders in Germany (total).  Last year (2015), there were 682.  Almost a 30-percent decrease.  Reason? No one can one or even two reasons.....they think there are numerous reasons for the decrease.  And no, there's no increase which you can relate to immigration, asylum, or refugees on the murder numbers.....other than some refugees or immigrants who got killed by other immigrants or refugees.

The rate of solving murder crimes?  This is a shocker.  Roughly 95-percent of all murders in Germany on average....get solved.  Again, you can't point to any one single detail which makes this possible.

I will admit....their CSI efforts go to the extreme, and they put a large number of cops onto each single murder case, which brings a lot of effort into the first 72 hours.

Assaults?  In 2006, there 572,300 assaults reported.  For a population of's a pretty hefty number.  But in 2015, there were 549,500 reported (4-percent decrease).  In this area, they solve the assault identification issue at around 88-percent.

Pickpocket crimes?  In 2006, there were roughly 101,000 reported.....but they've soared in the last couple of years, and it's around 168,100 today (67-percent increase).  The odds of solving these?  6.5-percent chance that the German cops will solve it.  This is one of the areas that Germans whine about and would like more efforts.

Break-in's?  In 2006, there were 106,100 2015, it was 167,100 reported (58-percent increase).  It's roughly a one-out-of-twelve chance that the crime will be solved or the person identified.  This is an ongoing trend in highly urbanized Wiesbaden or Mainz.

The two states with the most break-in's?  North Rhine Westphalia and Schlesswig-Holstein.  The state with the least?  Bavaria (one-seventh of the most severe state).

After immigration, refugees and asylum issues.....crime is the next topic hyped by most Germans.  The only general answers that the political folks can conjure up are: more cops (meaning more cost to the state), more cameras (which the left-wing typically hates), and more emphasis on the judges to actually put people away or ship them out of the country if they are not Germans.

Course, after they pump up your local cop force by twenty-five percent, install two hundred more cameras in your urbanized city, and wrote twenty new laws to force the judges to take harsh treatment of the guilty parties.....IF you don't see any real change, what does it mean and how does it affect voting standards?

There was a piece in the Hessen news auxiliary cops added (100 new members).  They aren't real cops but they get approximately three-quarters of the functions of the cops (I should note less pay as well).  There is some hope that this will bring more emphasis onto break-ins and maybe help decrease the issue in Hessen (quickly becoming topic number one).  But unless you really drill down into the gangs operating and their typical methods.....I don't see how this really does much.  

In some ways, Germans have to appreciate the murder rate and the crime-solving abilities of their cops.  But in some other ways, they are fairly frustrated and waiting for some remarkable change to occur to make them feel safe.

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