Wednesday, July 28, 2021

Germany and Covid-19: 28 July 2021

 1.  There was a interview today with the RKI 'boss' (leading medical authority in Germany).  He says the rate of infection is now such....that he could proclaim the 4th 'wave' now here and starting to cycle up.

Generally, this would bring up the question of how long the wave lasts (minimum of six to eight weeks), the estimated down-time (it'll only come when harsh shutdown measures occur), and the arrival of the 5th wave (probably in the Christmas period).

In simple terms....it's a harsh negative message, and will trigger a lot of heartburn around the Bundestag about having to focus people on shutdowns once again. 

2.  N-TV says today that 41.8 million Germans are now vaccinated fully.  

3.  Bavaria's Premier-President (Soder, CSU) says that he wants to start on 1 August with testing at the border (if you drive or arrive by rail).  The federal folks are talking that if you arrive by air....testing will start by 1 August (no one doubts that estimate).  The difference of opinion?  If you start talking about the borders to nine countries and the people there to enforce the tests....I'd question if such a capability is ready to go (probably into the tens of thousands to make this work).

General impression?  No doubt that air travel folks will arrive on 1 August and find the mandated program in place.  Going full-scale with railway and roads?  It'll probably be mid-August before they can have this program up and running.  

If you lived an hour near the border of France, and drove over for four hours of wine-tasting?  No one is clear if you fall into the must-test group yet.  

The type of testing that they are talking about?  Well....to the 'quickie-test' level.  So even if you test positive....you'd have to go and take the PCR test to really confirm it and the fake-positive results are something of a 'legend' now with the 'quickie-tests'.    

4.  ARD TV news did a piece today talking over a study which noted depression increasing among German teens....saying around 477k teens are now affected (ages 16 to 19).

Their big numbers?  Well....before Covid, they generally estimated that 10-percent of German teens had a depression problem.  Now?  Near 25-percent.

In their mind, the schools ought to be open, and they help provide a stress-reliever.  

5.  German state with highest accomplishment on the vaccinations (today)?  Saarland with 67-percent (per 100 adults).  State with lowest numbers?  Sachsen, with 51.8-percent (per 100 adults).  

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