Friday, July 23, 2021

"Not Zero" Discussion

 I was watching N-TV (commercial news network in Germany) this morning, and they had this Covid update.

So the topic or subject is: "Risk of illness (referring to Covid) after vaccination "not zero"".

They basically rounded up some virus experts who stood up and admitted that there is an effectiveness number to each vaccination type.  X produces this...Y produces this...etc.

So you could take vaccine X, and the scientist will just say it's 92-percent effective, which means out of a one-hundred people....8 folks won't find it very effective.  Who are the eight?  Well...you don't know.  Maybe they were in bad physical shape.  Maybe they had past problems with cancer or diabetes.  There could be a thousand different ways that the eight fall into the other category.  Some may have had just a bad or low level of vitamin D in their system.   

Why bring any of this up?  

Well....it comes down to this.  You get Huns who comes up four months after his vaccination, and has contracted Covid-19 while at some beach resort in Italy.  Huns eventually returns to Germany and gets hyped up with his doctor, and doesn't get any real explanation.  Then Huns gets interviewed by some newspaper or telecast, and folks stand there looking at the government guy or virus expert.....asking them in some German sort of way.....'what the hell happened'?

A big deal?  No.

But here's the bigger issue.  If that effective number shifts, and starts to drop twelve months into the vaccination business...to say 80-percent, then the gimmick of vaccinating is rather disappointing.  

Will all the vaccinations go this way?  Some will stick up around 90-percent.....and I would suggest some will drop into the 80's.  Some of these non-European vaccines might even drop lower.  

But hey, this is what cards you've been dealt in the poker-game of Covid-19.  Accept the fact, and just keep playing.  Oh, and those masks?  I'd keep them handy....they aren't going away.  

And I should remind you....flu shots worked the same way.  They aren't 100-percent effective either.  

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