Well....there would be a new election (ahead of the fall 2025 election).
The likely outcome, based on polls now?
The CDU/CSU win with 30-to-32 percent.
The SPD would likely come at 16 percent. The Greens at 13 percent. The FDP at 5 percent.
AfD (far-right)? I'd put them at 17-to-18 percent. With the new BSW Party coming in around 6-to-7 percent. Linke? OUT with only 3 percent. The FW and the VOLT parties? They both might manage 2.5 percent each (a lot of youth votes for VOLT).
So here's the issue....The CDU/CSU folks would have to build a coalition and reach 50-percent control. Just trying to partner with the SPD or Greens? Not enough! You'd have to bring in a 2nd partner....either the FDP, or the BSW Party (unlikely). Partnering with AfD? Won't happen.
With Scholtz of the SPD gone....you might see more of a positive trend with the SPD being the partner.
VOLT energizing itself to attract more of the youth vote? I could see that happening, and getting near 5-percent (taking voters off the Greens or SPD).
This far-right discussion going on still....even after a new vote? You would have resolve some of the migration woes and improve the economy.
Linke out of national politics? Yeah, once this election occurs, and they don't get seats in the Bundestag.....I see the Linke Party dissolving within a year or two.
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