The chairman of the Drugs Commission of the German Medical Association came out in a public comment yesterday, and basically said....no one really knows how the Biontech/Moderna vaccines work on high-risk people (folks over 65, people with diabetes, COPD folks, etc).
With his comment, he is hinting that the testing phase went through a fairly fast-paced sequence, and there might be dozens of issues existing in the next three months....to trigger a segment of German society to say 'no' to the vaccination business.
The odds of no serious reaction? Just as equal....which simply lays out a difficult landscape to predict.
If you had a thousand Germans take the vaccination and quickly have serious Covid-19 symptoms and half of them pass on (southern term for dying) in the first six weeks? Well....it'd trigger a whole re-think of the program, and if things should be suspended for three to six months while more testing takes place.
This is one of the odd scenarios that I'd suggest as problematic for the whole vaccination concept. We see an enormous task here in early 2021, and the gut-feeling is that by mid-summer....the bulk of German society will have been vaccinated (that's the super-positive scenario). If some suspension occurred in mid-February and stalled the whole vaccination deal until August? Well....confidence in the government and the solution would really go intensely negative.
I'm more on the optimistic side....eighty-percent of vaccinated folks having some mild fever and cough, with the remaining twenty-percent getting sick-slips for a week and endure a moderate flu-like stage. The fact that this might repeat each time you do the vaccine? Well, it'd be the price you pay for this solution.
So you might as well be open-minded and accepting of some glitches.
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