A major political poll was done by YouGov for the news folks in Germany (Focus).....over the Chancellor business. So what you should take away from this effort?
1. Three out of ten Germans were asked and responded.....they wouldn't have a problem with Merkel running once again (in the fall 2021 election). Five out of ten.....say 'no, we've had enough of Merkel'.
2. The guy who has the lead right now? The Bavarian CSU guy....Markus Soder, with 27-percent. Way behind is Merz (six months ago, he would have led in the country) at 12-percent. The chief competitor against Merz from that period (Rottgen)? He's fallen to around 3-percent, and I don't see him coming back. There hasn't been a single public appearance in four weeks with him.
Does it really matter? No, we are 17 months away. But it's a strong indicator that no SPD candidate is going to emerge and challenge the CDU at the level required. The Green Party guy (Habeck)....not mentioned.
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