About a week ago, I essayed a piece talking about the crime gang boss of a Lebanese crime family in Germany.....who'd been deported, and had arrived back in Germany.....asking this time for asylum because he's 'unsafe' in Lebanon. Well, the story develops more since that report.
Today, public TV (ARD, Channel One) picks up the story.
This deportee, apparently crossed over in Germany illegally.
The hype from the Interior Ministry? It appears that the guy back into the Schengen Zone (the protected area of Europe, composed of 26 countries) and simply drove across the Polish border to Bremen, where he planted himself and asked for legal asylum.
The asylum request? It has to be accomplished (by law), but it's going to beg questions where he originally landed or crossed into (within the Schengen Zone). My guess is that he will grin and just say he doesn't remember. My guess is that he flew from Lebanon to Serbia, and then had one of his gang members standing by with a car, crossing a minimum of three borders before reaching Germany.
By the Schengen rules, at reaching country number one's border, he had to declare himself. By failing to do that....the visa application can probably be turned down.
Did he fly up to the region of Bremen? That's a possibility as well.
So the Interior Ministry is all pepped-up, and they've ordered up border-checks (against the Polish border). The comical side of this order? Well, the German police will admit in public that they can do a random stop-and-ID situation but to physically go back and run full-up 24-hour-a-day check-points on all entries into Germany....would be near-impossible. You'd have to go and commit to hiring thousands of police for the job. Then you'd have to go and admit in public that the Schengen Agreement is a failure (no one will argue about that in public at this point).
So what's the next stumbling block? The asylum application for this Lebanese crime boss has to be reviewed and returned. You can figure at least four months involved in this....maybe up to six.
Then two paths are laid out....either he's on a failed asylum request, which means he will appeal and drag this out for possibly two years, or he's accepted for a visa and this becomes a giant 'red-flag' for AfD supporters to point at over immigration control and it's failures.
Then you have to ask....what if it's a failed visa request, and the appeal is wrapped up by the end of 2020? How will they deport him, and will he return yet again? This is a lousy scenario to construct, but it really could turn into a problem for the CDU and SPD parties for the 2021 fall national election....to explain how they deported him yet again, and he did a sneak-act to return to Germany again.
The AfD Party could easily say for a national campaign that Schengen is doomed and should be discarded....with national border police returned as a 'normal' thing (what everyone saw prior to the 1990s).
This crime boss may not think of himself as being some political agenda 'piece', but that's exactly what he's created by coming back.
Oh, and I should note....this guy's gang, their specialty was import and dealing of drugs.
Update: Afternoon of 8 Nov 2019. Well, BamF ran through the asylum application rather quickly. as of this afternoon....this crime boss is not a potential asylum person for Germany. They said 'no'.
What happens now? He'd have to be deported, unless he files for an appeal (very likely). Back to Lebanon? Yeah. And the likely chance that he's back in Germany again after the deportation? I'd give it a 99-percent likely chance.
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