Friday, January 20, 2023

Is There A Limit To What Germany Can Handle Via Migrants/Immigrants and Asylum Seekers?

 I sat through the 2013-to-2017 era here in Germany, and had several chats with Afghans, Syrians, Iraqis, Russians and one Ghanaian.  So I have a different prospective than most folks (including Germans).

There's a lot of hype now within the Bundestag....that things aren't working well with the 'guests'.  Some Germans (probably nearing 30 to 40 percent)....want a limit assigned.  

So I'll make these eight observations:

1.  Integration is pure 'hit-and-miss'.  You could have 2,000 folks a year arrive in Stuttgart, and find that fewer than twenty fail on integrating into German society.  You could have 600 folks arrive in Hamburg, and more than a hundred fail on integrating into the system.  Some states/cities have better programs than others....it's  mystery that no one can understand.

2.  You have x-number of folks arrive from a non-war country and want their economic distress to be the key feature of accepting them....then you find that they are at twenty-five years old....have mostly what you'd consider a 6th grade education and it'd take four years to teach them German, and get through some job-skill situation, with the German government covering their lifestyle for the four-year period.  While no one wants to admit....there is a negative Euro-trade-off situation that is brewing.  

3.  A fair sum of people...wake up around a year into their transition into Germany...discovering that their old crappy life in the old country....measures up to the same crappy level in Germany because they don't have the job skills to be anything other than a shelf-stocker or gas station clerk.

4.  A number of the younger migrant guys end up with juvenile bad-boy behavior, and become magnets for police woes.  You only solve public worries of safety....by hiring more police.  

5.  Older migrant folks will point open lifestyle issues in Germany....make for serious trouble with young male migrant population.  It's like mixing booze, drugs and sexual behavior together....getting a wild mess to control.

6.  German authorities will readily admit....across all of the major urban zones in Germany.....affordable housing is crap, and long-term strategy or fixes.....seem to always be BS.  Trying to size immigrant population into this mess?  It just makes for a bigger mess.

7.  Various states are unlikely to deport failed visa applicants....while other states are very likely to deport the folks.  It differs state to state, and no one can explain the science or lack of science to this.  

8.  While all of these hang against the current program....Germany desperately needs migration in it's future....to carry the weight of industry and craftsmen.  

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