How Would the 'Last Generation' Activist Political Party Look?

 With this threat of the activists forming a party, there are three observations I can make:

1.  Out of the 2021 federal election, the Green Party took around 6.5-million votes (giving them around 14.5-percent of the national vote).  The SPD Party took around 12.1-million votes...giving them around 26-percent of the national vote.

Without a lot of polls or data, I would make a fair guess that the Last Generation activist-party could probably take around a quarter of the Green Party's 14.5 percent and probably around one-tenth of the SPD's votes....adding up to around to 5-to-6 percent of a federal vote.  It's enough to get seats and to make things complicated for a coalition situation. 

It's also enough that it weakens the Green Party and creates 'waves' in various state elections.

2.  Added to the list of issues....there's a SPD-led effort to lower the voting age from 18 to 16.

This would add around 1.5-million votes to the previous listing across the nation, and possibly bringing a higher count to my estimate (making them possibly up to 7 or 8 percent). 

The idea of the age thing being accepted?  So far....the FDP seems to be against it....as is the CDU-CSU folks.  I have my doubts that it can pass in 2023, and the SPD may be more fearful of influencing the activist angle.  

3.  Finally, to the central problem of the activists.....as much as AfD is a single-topic party....the activist party would have a limited number of positions.  I doubt if they could talk over pension reform, tax reform, or forty other central parts of political chatter.

I'm not suggesting success or failure if they proceed ahead....I'm just saying if they move to a party apparatus....it hurts both the SPD and Green parties.  

It is entirely possible that the Green Party would be weakened to the extent that they can't pass a 10-percent point in the national audience.  

Just another crazy path in German politics.