Tuesday, February 28, 2017

The Spain Story

I often point out birth-rates in Europe and how it's influencing the future.

This week, it came out that Spain is suffering to a fair degree.....with a 1.32 reproduction rate (for each couple).  It got thrown out there by a government office with this interesting statistic....since 1977....the number of childless couples in Spain went from 1.5 million to 4.4 million.

It obviously worries the government.  2014 numbers show around 46.5 million residents in Spain.  I looked around for surveys but there are very few which predict numbers for twenty years into the future.  If it's like Germany....it's a twenty-percent drop expected by 2035, so you could be looking at Spain having a population of 37.5 million residents if the trend stays on par.

I went and looked up the 1960 population number....it's roughly 30.45-million.  The 1960s and 1970s were a "robust" period for the population.

What's going on?  Birth control is readily available.....cost of living is an on-going issue.....taxation is a topic that most people hate to engage upon.....business interests aren't booming.  All of this leads women to make the decision that one single kid is enough.

When you look across much of Europe....it's all destined to be 30-percent less in number within the the forty years.....unless immigration occurs.

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