Tesla Update

RBB (the public TV network for Berlin-City) came out today with an excellent piece talking about the Tesla factor slated for 2021 (to be completed and hopefully by early 2022....building cars).

I strongly advocate a read of the article. 

Here's the thing, which they point out, and was spoken by local SPD political figures.....this is not a simple approval for the Tesla plant, and normally....you would need 'years' (yes, they actually used the term).

This is one of those odd things about commercial companies in Germany today, that various institutions exist to throw delays in the way, and if you were BMW on a project like this, you would have started five years, and figure at least three more years before the gate is opened for production.  It's a sad factor in German commerce today.

What'll happen if we get to the end of 2020, and nothing has been started on the construction of the plant....with various delays occurring? 

I would point back to a Google project in Ireland where they picked a quiet town, who was begging for the jobs, and virtually everyone begged for the approval.  Months and months went by with delays.....triggered mostly by two guys who mostly wanted every single environmental challenge to be thrown into the middle of the mess, and the political folks felt that things could always be worked out....eventually.  Then the day came....18 solid months of delay....and Google said 'enough', and terminated the project.  The two guys?  They just kept thinking that Google would roll over....do some massive environmental donation and fall into the local game.  Jobs lost?  If you were looking for truly disgruntled locals....this was the prime location.

So I look at this site....about 20 to 30 km southeast of Berlin, and would kinda suggest that by spring of 2021....with delays showing up....Tesla will quietly terminate the project and go over to Czech, and find them very friendly on accepting the challenges. 

The Germans?  They may kick themselves for months, but this is the primary trouble in creating any factor from scratch now in Germany.  You would need a good five to seven years, and there are other countries more willing to act.