Up until today, just about everyone in Germany believed that this new Tesla plant (to be built in the Berlin region, about 40 km SE of the heart of Berlin)....was a virtual guaranteed thing.
Well, with a N-TV article today....folks have been lead back around to the idea that it's not guaranteed.
What the journalists say is that while the area was pre-approved for industry purposes (it was supposed to be a BMW site of some type)....there's this issue of environmental stumbling blocks.
The company has a road-map to production, and it says that by late 2021....assembly is supposed to start. It basically means that you'd have to see ground breaking by late spring 2020, and the 50-percent completion situation done by late spring 2021 (my humble belief).
Environmental challenges? That's really a really threat. There's a major forest around the site, although there's a autobahn already passing through the region.
The odds of court injunctions halting or delaying the start-up? I would make a guess that if we reach the end of 2020, and work hasn't started because of the delays.....Tesla will dump Germany entirely, and go to a neighboring country (I'd probably suggest Czech). Putting this into betting odds? It's probably a 50-50 shot that they meet a start-up by the end of 2020, and less than a 10-percent chance of running production by the last day of 2021....with this Berlin site.
Embarrassment over failure, if this occurs? It would say alot about the future of industry in Germany, and why production might shift to other countries in the future.
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