I would suggest four things falling into play from this point to September:
1. A general drop of six points (currently at 27 points and in the lead). If true, they would be near 21-percent on election day (this is me saying this....NOT German journalists).
2. The Greens with 23-to-25 percent would manage to win.
3. Voters shifting away from the CDU? They'd mostly move to the FDP Party....moving them up around 15-percent.
4. The CDU executive membership would probably demand that Laschet give up his 'party-chief' job for the party because of the dismal results. Either Soder, or Spahn would be dispatched as the new 'party-chief'.
This 'win' would be the worst set of circumstances for forming a government since 1947.
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