Lot of chatter....speculation hyping up this week over who the CDU Party will push for the Chancellor candidate.
It appears that enough party support exists...for Armin Laschet (Premier-President of NRW) to get the 'nod'.
If this occurs?
I would suggest five things:
1. You will start to notice a quarter-point each week of decline with public support for the CDU Party. Laschet won't be seen as a dynamic leader.
2. You will notice the Green Party pursue Annalena Baerbock as their candidate for Chancellor, and a general rise in their standing.
3. The September election ends up being a marginal win (maybe by only 1-point) for the Green Party.....with something like a 26 to 28 percent win for them, and the CDU following by 1 to 2 points.
4. If the SPD and Linke Parties can get enough to balance power with the Greens....it'll be a Green-Red-Red government, and a fair number of CDU voters will be extremely angry with what transpired.
5. If there's only one single potential government coalition possible (Greens and CDU)....prepare for some things which people felt would never happen (something like speed limits on autobahns finally happening).
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