Thursday, February 23, 2023

Ten Things I Expect At The End Of The Russia-Ukraine War

 1.  Putin is dead (through cancer or some health issue).

2.  Whoever replaces Putin is a temp-guy....between six to twelve months....allowing the Duma and Oligarch crew to voice internally their Putin-like replacement.

3.  The war, after Putin is buried.....is filtered down into a lesser conflict.  The Russians will still be there but internal discussions will hinder any bold 'steps'.  Around as the real 'new' guy is installed....the Oligarch/Duma crowd agrees....the war will be ended (no treaty, just troops leaving).  

4.  As bad as 2023 probably will be for the Russian economy....I'm in the belief that 2024 will be even worse, with two mobilization 'drills' for 2023 starting to conflict with the industry and service sector.  

5.  I expect as the war ends....a period of suicide erupts with dozens of key players within the Russian military and government.  It was a similar 'mess' in 1945 in Germany.....where people lost their prospective about the war.

6.  A massive military rebuilding plan will be put forward, and will bring massive chaos to the financial sector of Russia....because they can't afford what is discussed.

7.  Someone within the government of Russia will admit as the war closes down....the true population.  Presently, they say it's in the 144-million range.  I expect this number to be trimmed down to the 130-million range at present.

8.  Almost every town in Russia will embark upon a memorial or statue routine....to honor the dead.  Upwards to 100,000 monuments or statues will be put up over the next decade....across the nation.  At least 100 Putin statues will be among them.

9.  At least 100 books will be written of the war, from the Russian prospective....with most all detailing how brilliant Putin managed the war.

10.  At least twenty movies will be produced from within Russia by 2030....over the heroic efforts by the common Russian soldier....against the evil Nazi-Ukrainians.  Attempts to distribute or play the movies in Europe will fail miserably.  

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