Monday, January 7, 2019

Political Chatter

In the last couple of days, there's been some political chat going on about an odd political topic in Germany.  For those who don't remember from the Sep 2017 German national election, there were only two coalition options for Chancellor Merkel.  Her party (the CDU-CSU), could team up with the Greens and FDP, or with the SPD.

The SPD option?  They absolutely declined and wanted to go into a rebuilding phase, to oppose the CDU at every point.

The Greens-FDP?  They went for roughly eight weeks talking over the idea, and the FDP finally said NO, they could never partner-up with the Greens.  Part of the issue was over the environmental issues, and part with the immigration business. 

So pressure was brought upon the SPD to re-enter the talks.  That worked out, but to be honest, there's a great deal of problems in making this relationship between the two work.

In the past month....the FDP picked back up talks with the Green Party.  Nothing much was expected, and they really don't want to dig deep into this.  But here's the odd factor for the Greens....if they could remove the SPD as a power-player, the SPD might slip down to 12-percent of the public polling, and the Greens would suddenly pick up more votes/support. 

The odds of some occasion popping up here in 2019, where Merkel is angry with the SPD, and the Greens/FDP walk in to suggest a 'deal'?  I'd put the odds at 25-percent.  It might happen but the odds are not that favorable.  A better government?  Maybe. 

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