Wednesday, January 31, 2024

1 Feb 2024: Six German News Stories

 1  What is the newly created Democratic Alliance for Diversity and Awakening Party (DAVA) in Germany?

Well...President Erdogan of Turkey has decided to form a party within Germany....primarily designed for Turks in Germany....to vote in the EU election in 4 months, and to be a device for entry into the Bundestag (fed election in the fall of 2025).

Around 3-million Turks in Germany have citizenship....with another 1.5-million figured to gain citizenship by the end of 2024.   

The percentage of them who'd go and vote for DAVA?  Unknown.  If I were to take an educated guess....going into the EU election?  Probably around 1.5-million votes.  Enough to get 5 seats in the EU. 

But if  you ask for the fall of 2025 German federal election?  I'd guess in the 2-million range....enough to get 35 to 40 seats.  It'd also subtract seats somewhere down the line from the CDU/CSU, SPD and Greens.

The DAVA folks voicing positions that Erdogan would select?  Yeah, and it'll irk the Germans a bit.  Chatter going on?  Well....some are saying DAVA will be the Turkish version of AfD...very right-wing-like.

2.  2.8-million Germans without a job (data release from yesterday).  84-million in population.  

3.  WELT had a piece talking over the cost of railway/bus tickets, and how the trend is escalating on cost.  Just the way it reads....this monthly 49-Euro ticket has to escalate in January 2025....probably more than 59-Euro.

4.  All flights for Berlin BER airport to be cancelled for Thursday because of the strike.

5.  All local bus/train/subway operations for Berlin....cancelled for Friday.  Strike for more pay.

6.  Just odd....I read through a piece (page 4 material) that Japan and Germany have spent months working on a new military agreement, and this week...finalized it.

Basic terms?  There's some exchange of supplies between Japanese and German militaries. 

Folks reacting with 1930s type chatter?  Well....yeah.

The fact that Germany went beyond France, Spain, or the UK?  Yeah....that idea does come up.  

2 comments:

Daz said...

I'd be curious on your thoughts about this, but I find the Japanese and the Germans to be kindred spirits in a lot of their cultural elements, and also their industrious nature. Similarly making poor choices for austerity minded governments that have led to slow downs, and in desperate need for progressive changes and innovation.

I've spent time in both countries, and obviously the fact that the alphabet is the same and I look European led me to settle in Germany, but the mindset I find very similar. What do you think?

Schnitzel_Republic said...

There are two components to this discussion.

First, the two are basically angling toward joint projects...saving on cost (like for tanks, helicopters, radar, missiles, rockets, etc). It's a plus-up in twenty years.

Second, this whole 1936 mutual agreement/history lays there. Had the Japanese gone by the German plan and not gotten into the 1938/1939 'mini-war' with Russia....then Japanese would have gone full-bore on a war with the US, and the US involvement in WW II would have been different.

Japan is not a threat today...mostly because they have a defensive mindset/strategy. If that changes and someone like South Korea sees them as threat...then we see a repeat of the 1930s.

Frankly, because of the 30-odd year recession, I don't see Japan being a problem, and this might work to the advantage of both countries. Who knows....maybe in two years, you end up with 10k Japanese yearly entering the German labor market.