Sunday, January 21, 2024

What Really Happens If The Far-Right AfD Party Is Banned?

 This goes down the path of Article 18 of the Basic Law (German Constitution)....where an authority would stand and say that forfeiture of rights to exist as a party would occur....mostly because you threatened one of seven basic rights in Germany.  

There would be a legal challenge (done in a matter of weeks) and the Constitutional Court have stand and stamp the forfeiture approved (or thrown out).

So, here's the key issues:

1.  Three eastern state election occur this year and presently....the AfD is slated to take 30-percent (or more)....thus were slated to win.  What happens to the 30-percent?  

There are three beliefs....the 30-percent folks could stay at home....the 30-percent folks could take over another party....or the 30-percent folks would just vote for an alternate candidate (not the CDU, Greens, or SPD).  

In the 2019 Sachsen state election for example....a total of 26 parties were registered and people voted under.  In the final week prior to the election....the banned AfD could stand up and announce that all members should go to X-party and vote for them.  

2.  More discussion would occur over the one key core point which brings voters to the AfD....immigration.

By banning AfD...more talk than ever would startup over social media.  I'm not saying it's a good thing or bad thing....just that whatever you banned....doesn't just go away easily.

3.  Finally, someone will go back to these seven key things that you can't really voice negativity over, and start to eyeball the SPD, CDU or Greens....over efforts to evolve or change these things. 

Yeah, the AfD folks would then say....why can't you ban the SPD or CDU?  Just messing with Article 5....Freedom of Assembly....would generate more ban talk...against the obvious good guys.

This ban-chatter now a top five discussion topic?  Yes, and it doesn't seem to be evolving. 

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