Thursday, January 22, 2026

22 Jan 2026: Germany: 5 Stories

 1. Couple  of shots fired last night in Dortmund....guy (unknown nationality) was hit and died. Police are investigating.  All the cops say....occurred at north part of town....near midnight.  

Shootings in 1980s/1990s were awful rare. If you follow the news these days....there's probably one every couple of week...usually crime-clan related.

2. Out of Thuringia.....a 34-year-old man from Georgia on asylum-status (supposed to be deported)....got into some argument with two aid workers.   What cops say....the guy beat the two refugee aid workers so badly they required hospitalization. 

3.  The only 'big' gain in this Trump-Greenland deal?  All military facilities on Greenland....end up with US operational control.  Besides what the US already had....if Grok/AI is correct....six non-US sites end up in this deal. 

Difficult to say if these are going to be US-manned, and 3,000-odd US Army guys end up in some 1-year Greenland temp-duty situation.  

Yeah, and most likely they create a medal for the one-year deployment.

4.  Out of WELT: now costing 5k Euro a month for a 'spot' in a German retirement home.  Reaching a point where half of folks can't really afford the monthly bill.

5.  For 25 years....this Mercosur deal has been attempted.  The Mercosur-EU deal refers to a comprehensive trade and partnership agreement between the European Union (EU) and the Mercosur trade bloc, which consists of Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, and Uruguay (with Bolivia as an associate member and Venezuela suspended). 

It was supposed to create one of the world's largest free trade areas, covering over 700 million people and facilitating tariff reductions on goods, services, and investments while enhancing political cooperation. 

It settled agricultural standards, environmental protections, and market access.

So....they signed the deal on 9 Jan 2026....done deal.

Well....NO....yesterday....the formal group in  the EU....said we want a judicial review.  EU court?  

First, you can expect the review to take 12 months minimum....maybe on up to 26 months.

Second, this ECJ assessing?  It'll list compatibility with EU treaties, focusing on issues like a "rebalancing mechanism" that lets Mercosur countries challenge EU legislation (e.g., environmental or agricultural standards), potential regulatory autonomy erosion, and alignment with EU climate commitments. 

Potential destruction?  Lot of South American folks figured this was a done deal....hyping up their economy over 2026/2027.  Now?  Even  if the ECJ were 'nice'....saying no issues....you won't see any benefit occurring in 2026, and possibly even in 2027.

If the ECJ fails the deal....go expect a mini-economic crash.

The odds of total abandonment?  Well....I'd give it a 10-to-20 percent chance.  Maybe there's just one or two problems to re-engage upon and resolve.

The cheap steak path to Europe?  This got brought up this past week....where both Argentine and Brazilian beef would be arriving in a few months.

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