1. Pretty strong indicators that the Interior Minister (Nancy Faeser, SPD) will be gone by the end of the year. Replacement? Likely to be another SPD member.
2. The EU election is scheduled for 9 June. Unlike previous EU elections (every 5 years).....this might be a highly pumped-up period, and more right-wing parties might gain seats in this election. Major topic? Asylum/immigration....something that the EU can't really resolve.
3. Three German state elections in 2024.....Thuringia (fall), Sachsen (1 Sep), and Brandenburg (22 Sep).
Worries? AfD appears very likely to win in Sachsen, Brandenburg and Thuringia. Getting a coalition? Zero chance. But it's going to make things a bit hyped-up from summer on for the year.
4. The SPD Party badly needs some reversal action on numbers....before you get to the fall of 2025.
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